Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000172 0.000191 0.000211 0.000234 0.000260 0.000289 0.000323
2025-03-30 0.000142 0.000170 0.000202 0.000244 0.000295 0.000356 0.000436
2025-04-06 0.000117 0.000148 0.000187 0.000239 0.000307 0.000396 0.000521
2025-04-13 0.000097 0.000128 0.000169 0.000226 0.000307 0.000417 0.000581
2025-04-20 0.000087 0.000119 0.000162 0.000227 0.000322 0.000458 0.000675
2025-04-27 0.000080 0.000113 0.000160 0.000232 0.000343 0.000510 0.000789
2025-05-04 0.000073 0.000106 0.000154 0.000231 0.000353 0.000547 0.000885
2025-05-11 0.000067 0.000100 0.000150 0.000232 0.000369 0.000592 0.001002
2025-05-18 0.000062 0.000095 0.000145 0.000231 0.000378 0.000628 0.001107
2025-05-25 0.000057 0.000090 0.000140 0.000229 0.000387 0.000664 0.001218
2025-06-01 0.000053 0.000085 0.000135 0.000227 0.000393 0.000695 0.001323
2025-06-08 0.000048 0.000078 0.000128 0.000218 0.000388 0.000706 0.001389
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000075 0.000126 0.000220 0.000403 0.000758 0.001553
2025-06-22 0.000044 0.000074 0.000126 0.000228 0.000430 0.000839 0.001797
2025-06-29 0.000040 0.000069 0.000121 0.000223 0.000431 0.000867 0.001929
2025-07-06 0.000037 0.000064 0.000112 0.000211 0.000419 0.000864 0.001985
2025-07-13 0.000035 0.000061 0.000110 0.000212 0.000431 0.000917 0.002191
2025-07-20 0.000033 0.000060 0.000110 0.000216 0.000453 0.000994 0.002473
2025-07-27 0.000031 0.000057 0.000107 0.000215 0.000461 0.001041 0.002687
2025-08-03 0.000030 0.000056 0.000106 0.000217 0.000476 0.001108 0.002971
2025-08-10 0.000028 0.000054 0.000103 0.000215 0.000484 0.001156 0.003209
2025-08-17 0.000027 0.000051 0.000101 0.000214 0.000492 0.001206 0.003469
2025-08-24 0.000026 0.000049 0.000098 0.000211 0.000496 0.001247 0.003708